汉江流域1960~2014年降雨极值时空变化特征

深入研究降雨极值的时空变化规律和特点，有助于提高应对极端灾害的能力。通过构建PDS/GP模型，并引入降雨极值变化指标，结合统计检验分析汉江流域15个气象站点1960~2014年春、夏、秋季以及全年月降雨超定量系列的年际变化特征；利用复杂网络理论的聚类系数和节点度，结合各站点在典型年份春、夏和秋季的降雨极值变化指标，分析月降雨极值的空间分布特征。分析结果表明：从时间上看，汉江流域月降雨极值年际变化的季节性差异较大，近55 a没有明显的一致性变化趋势。受季风气候影响，夏季的月降雨极值年际变化与春、秋季相反，而秋季的变异指标年际波动最大。从空间上看，受季风气候、下垫面条件和人类活动等多种因素的综合作用，中下游月降雨极值变化的差异性要高于上游。随着相关阈值的增大，流域站网总体关联度有所降低。相同阈值下的结果表明空间上相邻的站点其关联性差异较大，部分相距较远的站点具有更大的关联性，分析结果可为降雨极值的空间插值提供参考。     

汉江流域降水持续天数分布

以汉江流域13个站点1960~2003年的逐日降水资料为基础,分析了该流域年及各季雨日数和雨日平均雨量分布的时空特征，研究表明汉江流域春季平均雨日数占全年的25%~31%,雨量占全年雨量的21%~31%。夏季平均雨日数占全年雨日数的13%~18%,雨量占全年雨量的50%。秋季平均雨日数占全年雨日数的22%~31%,雨量占全年雨量的21%~29%。冬季平均雨日数占全年雨日数13%~22%，雨量占全年雨量的6%，雨日平均雨量仅为28 mm。建立了流域内不同站点、不同季节的持续性雨日概率分布模式，用Polya概率分布对汉江流域各种持续性雨日发生概率进行拟合，结果表明夏季、冬季、秋季拟合效果较好，卡方检验通过率达到95%，而春季有4个站点无法通过检验。利用Polya概率分布模式可以科学地估算流域各地、各季不同持续时段雨日出现的气候概率，为防洪减灾提供依据，也为南水北调中线工程的顺利实施提供科学依据     

Presence of DDT metabolites in water,sediment and fish muscle tissue from Lake Prespa,Republic of Macedonia

Organochlorine pesticides were determined in water and sediment samples collected from the littoral zone of Lake Prespa, as well as from its three main tributaries (the rivers Golema, Brajcinska and Kranska), during the period 2004 to 2006. In addition, muscle tissue samples of barbus fish (Barbus prespensis Karaman, 1928) collected from the littoral zone of Lake Prespa were also analysed. The obtained results give an overview of the contamination levels of these problematic compounds at their potential sources in the river mouths, in the potentially affected, species-rich littoral section of the lake and in the muscle tissue of one selected fish species, collected near the rivers’ deltas. Special attention was paid to the presence of some DDT metabolites (1,1-dichloro-2,2-bis(p-chlorophenyl)ethylene (p,p′–DDE); (1,1-dichloro-2,2-bis(p-chlorophenyl)ethane (p,p′–DDD) and 1,1,1-trichloro-2,2-bis(p-chlorophenyl)ethane (p,p′–DDT). The extraction of pesticides from water samples was done by liquid-liquid partition in dichloromethane. For the sediment and fish tissue we used solid-liquid extraction. The extracted residues were analyzed on a gas chromatograph equipped with an electron capture detector (GC-ECD). The results of the respective studies indicated the presence of DDT metabolic forms in the samples of the three analysed matrixes. The highest levels of presence for these pollutants were found in the muscle tissue of the fish samples. The total DDTs content in the analysed muscle tissue samples range from 11.67 to 13.58 μg kg^?1of fresh tissue. The average total DDTs content for the sediment samples were within the range of 2.32 to 4.17 μg kg^?1 of dry sediment. Higher DDT metabolites content were found in the sediments collected from the rivers than in the samples from the littoral zone. The lowest average total concentrations of DDTs, on the other hand, were recorded in the water samples and ranged between 0.036 and 0.057 μg L^?1. The obtained results indicated that the dominant metabolic form in the samples of the three investigated matrixes (water, sediment and fish tissue) from Lake Prespa was p,p′-DDE. There was a very good linear correlation in this study between the content of DDT's (total DDT metabolites) detected and the percentage of total organic material in the sediment. The detected concentrations are clearly below the toxicity thresholds; consequently, severe effects on the endemic species of Lake Prespa are not very likely.     

我国流域水资源管理模式理论创新初探

在以水资源过度开发、水环境污染、水资源短缺及用水效率和效益低下为主要标志的水危机日益凸显的今天,探寻和构建与中国国情相适应、并能反映先进生态水文化的现代水资源管理模式,是解决我国流域目前面临的水问题、应对未来不断加剧的水危机、实现区域经济与社会可持续发展的必由之路和战略抉择.在对国内外水资源管理模式的发展动态及研究进展系统评述的基础上,本文提出从传统的以行政区域为单元、以政府为主导、以供水管理为核心的水资源管理模式向以流域为单元、以市场为主导、以需水管理为基础的水资源综合管理模式的转变,是未来我国流域水资源管理模式理论创新的重要发展方向,并从流域水资源的管理制度、文化体系、管理模式、法律及政策体系方面进行详细论述.     

太湖水质的时空分异特征及其与水华的关系

在大量调查数据的基础上,分析了太湖水质的时空分异特征,探讨了太湖不同湖区、不同季节水质差异的原因。研究结果显示：北部的入湖河口区、几个湖湾、湖心区、西南湖区、东部湖区水体的透明度、高锰酸盐指数、氮、磷、叶绿素等富营养化指标差异显著。入湖河口区的高锰酸盐指数和营养盐含量高于南部湖区数倍,也明显高于北部湖湾区,这反映出太湖西北部入湖河道污染对太湖影响显著。不同季节太湖水质指标也差异显著,冬春期(12～次年5月份)水体的氮含量高于夏秋季(6～11月份)近1倍。水质季节性的显著差异进一步说明了外源输入对太湖水质的影响。研究表明太湖水质的时空异质性既受太湖湖泊形态特征本身的影响,也更多受到外源污染的影响,解决太湖的蓝藻水华问题,首先要在太湖的外源污染控制方面取得突破.     

新疆干旱区流域生态需水问题研究

通过对新疆平原区荒漠和绿洲两种生态系统的分析，特别是对天然绿洲生态系统中人工绿洲水资源利用方式及过程的分析，尝试性提出生态需水量在流域规划和水资源管理中的定位、不同生态系统的保护方式和基本生态水量的确定方式，并简述了新疆奎屯河流域以生态退水作为恢复流域生态水量的实例。     

嘉陵江流域经济空间分异研究

认识流域经济空间分异特征是科学决策、促进流域经济可持续发展的关键。以嘉陵江流经的主要县市为研究单元，选取度量嘉陵江流域经济发展的10个指标，运用主成分分析揭示流域经济差异，并用Geoda软件提供的空间分析方法揭示流域经济差异的空间分异特征。分析结果表明：流域内经济发展水平差异显著，并在地理空间上存在集聚性；流域内基本形成了“点 轴”式空间结构，且存在两个明显的经济热点区--绵 渝“双核区”，以及一个较大的经济盲区，即陕西、甘肃、四川三省交界处的边缘区域。在此基础上分析了影响流域空间经济分异的主要原因，提出盲点区与热点区的发展策略，防止流域内“极化”效应加剧，为缩小流域经济差距，促进流域经济协调发展提供基础依据.     

城市绿地空气负离子浓度评价研究——以杭州西湖风景区为例

采用AIC1000型空气负离子浓度测试仪，对西湖综合保护工程实施范围内的不同绿地进行了空气负离子浓度测定，结果表明，不同绿地空气负离子浓度排序依次为：乔灌草型〉疏林草地型〉滨水绿地型〉硬质铺地型，且滨水绿地型样地与硬质铺地型差异较小。与此同时，西湖风景区的空气负离子浓度显著高于城市中心区。     

珠江流域干旱事件的多变量区域分析及区域分布特征

区域干旱特征分析会为短期和长期的水资源管理提供关键的信息,因而对珠江流域进行区域干旱特征分析,建立了干旱严重程度-面积-频率曲线(Severity-Area-Frequency,SAF).传统的区域性分析都是单变量的,而水文事件往往具有多个属性,为此采用Chebana等提出的多变量的L-moment均一性检验方法对流域进行均一性检验.研究发现珠江流域可分为4个均一性区域,对各均一性区域进行干旱严重程度-面积-频率分析的基础上,发现珠江流域在发生严重干旱时经常是全流域的,这对整个珠江流域的水资源管理造成很大压力.同时珠江三角洲所在的区域干旱风险相对其他区域更高,珠三角地区城市密集,人口众多,高风险的干旱无疑会对该地区的发展造成重大影响,需引起重视.     

One century sedimentary records of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, mercury and trace elements in the Qinghai Lake, Tibetan Plateau

Sediments from a remote lake of northeastern Tibetan Plateau were analyzed for polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and trace metals. USEPA priority PAHs, ranged from 11 in 1860 to 279 ng g⁻¹ in 2002, while, the deposition fluxes were in the range of 0.2-11.4 ng cm⁻² yr⁻¹. Similarly, from 1860 to 2002, an increased trend of Hg flux was observed (0.5-3.2 ng cm⁻² yr⁻¹). Remarkable increase of PAHs and Hg concentration began from 1970, nearly the same period of the “Reform and Open” Policy had been embarked (1978) in China. Good correlations were found between concentrations of Pb, Zn, Cd, As, Hg, and PAHs, which suggested the sources of these chemicals in the sediment is analogous, likely from anthroprogenic sources. Based on isomer ratios, PAHs in core were dominantly from the incomplete combustion of coal. Owing to the proximity to dust source area (Qaidam Basin) and the close association between PAHs, Hg, Pb, and particle matters, atmospheric dust-transport and deposition might be the main pathways that pollutants enter into Qinghai Lake.